Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 May 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
3 to 8 May 2018
Respondents
1,489
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 May 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,489 people were surveyed from 3 to 8 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 May 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 18.3
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 32.7
  • FDP +0.3average 8.7
  • AfD +0.1average 13.9
  • Grüne +0.1average 11.9
  • Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 93 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD113
  • AfD93
  • Grüne79
  • Linke66
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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