Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 May 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
26 Apr 2018 to 2 May 2018
Respondents
1,507
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+2.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Apr 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,507 people were surveyed from 26 Apr 2018 to 2 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Apr 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 32.6
  • SPD -1.2average 18.2
  • FDP -1.1average 9.1
  • Grüne +0.4average 11.6
  • Linke -0.2average 10.2
  • AfD -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 225 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 93 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU225
  • SPD113
  • AfD93
  • Grüne80
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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