Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 April 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
19 to 25 Apr 2018
Respondents
2,350
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%+1.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Apr 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,350 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Apr 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +0.8average 10.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 32.4
  • SPD -0.2average 18.2
  • FDP -0.2average 9.2
  • Grüne +0.1average 11.9
  • AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 118 seatsAfD: 92 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD118
  • AfD92
  • Grüne79
  • Linke72
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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