Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 June 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
30 May 2018 to 6 Jun 2018
Respondents
1,950
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%+1.0
  • AfD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Jun 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,950 people were surveyed from 30 May 2018 to 6 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Jun 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.3average 17.7
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 33.0
  • Linke +0.7average 10.3
  • FDP -0.7average 8.7
  • AfD -0.1average 14.1
  • Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 125 seatsAfD: 92 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD125
  • AfD92
  • Grüne79
  • Linke72
  • FDP52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP334 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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