Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 April 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
29 Mar 2018 to 5 Apr 2018
Respondents
1,414
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%±0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Mar 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,414 people were surveyed from 29 Mar 2018 to 5 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Mar 2018, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 32.4
  • SPD -1.4average 18.4
  • FDP -1.4average 9.4
  • AfD -1.0average 14.0
  • Grüne +0.9average 11.1
  • Linke +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 225 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 86 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 73 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU225
  • SPD113
  • AfD86
  • Grüne80
  • Linke73
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke384 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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