Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 April 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
5 to 11 Apr 2018
Respondents
1,786
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • AfD14.0%+1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Apr 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,786 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Apr 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • Linke +0.6average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 32.6
  • SPD -0.2average 18.2
  • AfD +0.1average 13.9
  • FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 217 seatsSPD: 118 seatsAfD: 92 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU217
  • SPD118
  • AfD92
  • Grüne72
  • Linke72
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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