Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 28 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,982
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Mar 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,982 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Mar 2018, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.7average 13.7
- FDP -1.3average 9.3
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 32.8
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- SPD119
- Grüne80
- AfD80
- Linke73
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.