Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 March 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
15 to 21 Mar 2018
Respondents
1,972
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD18.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Mar 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,972 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Mar 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 32.6
  • Linke -0.8average 10.8
  • AfD -0.6average 13.6
  • Grüne +0.4average 11.6
  • SPD -0.2average 18.2
  • FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 118 seatsAfD: 85 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD118
  • AfD85
  • Grüne79
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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