Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,959
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%±0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Mar 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,959 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Mar 2018, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.1average 17.9
- Grüne -0.8average 11.8
- Linke -0.4average 10.4
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 32.7
- AfD +0.1average 13.9
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU216
- SPD125
- AfD92
- Grüne72
- Linke66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.