Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,419
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Grüne10.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Jan 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,419 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Jan 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.1average 19.9
- Grüne -1.1average 11.1
- FDP -1.0average 9.0
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 32.7
- AfD +0.1average 12.9
- Linke +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD140
- AfD86
- Grüne66
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.