Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 January 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Jan 2018
Respondents
1,899
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%+1.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Jan 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,899 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Jan 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 32.6
  • FDP -1.2average 9.2
  • Linke -0.6average 9.6
  • SPD +0.4average 20.6
  • AfD +0.4average 12.6
  • Grüne -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 138 seatsAfD: 85 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD138
  • AfD85
  • Grüne72
  • Linke59
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne380 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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