Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 January 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
21 Dec 2017 to 3 Jan 2018
Respondents
1,440
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Dec 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,440 people were surveyed from 21 Dec 2017 to 3 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Dec 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +0.9average 11.1
  • Linke -0.7average 9.7
  • SPD -0.6average 20.6
  • AfD -0.4average 12.4
  • FDP -0.4average 9.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 32.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 133 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsAfD: 79 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD133
  • Grüne79
  • AfD79
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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