Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 January 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Jan 2018
Respondents
1,513
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • Grüne11.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Jan 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,513 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Jan 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.2average 32.8
  • AfD -1.2average 13.2
  • FDP -1.0average 9.0
  • SPD +0.8average 19.2
  • Linke -0.2average 10.2
  • Grüne ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 225 seatsSPD: 133 seatsAfD: 80 seatsGrüne: 73 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU225
  • SPD133
  • AfD80
  • Grüne73
  • Linke66
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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