Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 December 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
30 Nov 2017 to 6 Dec 2017
Respondents
1,880
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD21.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Dec 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,880 people were surveyed from 30 Nov 2017 to 6 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Dec 2017, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 32.2
  • FDP -0.5average 9.5
  • Linke +0.3average 9.7
  • SPD -0.2average 21.2
  • AfD ±0average 12.0
  • Grüne ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 216 seatsSPD: 138 seatsAfD: 79 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU216
  • SPD138
  • AfD79
  • Grüne72
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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