Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 December 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
23 to 29 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,888
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD21.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Grüne10.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Nov 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,888 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Nov 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.5average 10.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 32.2
  • Grüne -0.8average 10.8
  • Linke +0.5average 9.5
  • AfD +0.3average 11.7
  • SPD ±0average 21.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 139 seatsAfD: 80 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD139
  • AfD80
  • Grüne66
  • Linke66
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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