Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
20 to 23 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,225
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%+2.0
  • SPD22.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%-2.0
  • Grüne10.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Nov 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,225 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Nov 2017, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -2.3average 11.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 31.6
  • SPD +1.1average 20.9
  • AfD -1.1average 12.1
  • Grüne -0.8average 10.8
  • Linke +0.7average 9.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 146 seatsAfD: 73 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD146
  • AfD73
  • Grüne66
  • Linke66
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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