Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
9 to 15 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,842
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%+1.0
  • FDP10.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Nov 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,842 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Nov 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.2average 11.2
  • Grüne +1.0average 10.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 31.9
  • Linke -0.6average 9.6
  • SPD +0.4average 20.6
  • AfD +0.4average 12.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 206 seatsSPD: 139 seatsAfD: 86 seatsGrüne: 73 seatsFDP: 66 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU206
  • SPD139
  • AfD86
  • Grüne73
  • FDP66
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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