Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 November 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,392
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
  • SPD22.0%+1.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%+1.0
  • Grüne10.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Nov 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,392 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Nov 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.6average 31.6
  • SPD +1.0average 21.0
  • Linke +0.6average 9.4
  • AfD +0.3average 12.7
  • FDP -0.2average 11.2
  • Grüne +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 197 seatsSPD: 144 seatsAfD: 85 seatsFDP: 72 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 66 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU197
  • SPD144
  • AfD85
  • FDP72
  • Grüne66
  • Linke66
  • CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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