Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 November 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 1,476
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Oct 2017.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,476 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Oct 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower and Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 33.4
- Grüne +1.8average 9.2
- FDP -0.6average 10.6
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
- AfD +0.4average 11.6
- SPD -0.3average 21.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- SPD139
- AfD80
- Grüne73
- FDP66
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.