Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 December 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
7 to 13 Dec 2017
Respondents
1,865
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
  • SPD22.0%+1.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Dec 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,865 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Dec 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.4average 9.4
  • SPD +0.9average 21.1
  • AfD +0.6average 12.4
  • Linke -0.6average 9.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 32.1
  • Grüne -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 146 seatsAfD: 86 seatsGrüne: 73 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD146
  • AfD86
  • Grüne73
  • Linke60
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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