Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 October 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
5 to 11 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,960
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
  • SPD21.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%+1.0
  • Grüne10.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Oct 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,960 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 3.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -3.3average 34.3
  • Grüne +1.3average 8.7
  • AfD +1.0average 11.0
  • FDP +0.8average 10.2
  • SPD -0.6average 21.6
  • Linke +0.5average 9.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 206 seatsSPD: 139 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 73 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 66 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU206
  • SPD139
  • AfD80
  • FDP73
  • Grüne66
  • Linke66
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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