Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 October 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
12 to 18 Oct 2017
Respondents
2,304
Method
Unbekannt

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Oct 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,304 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 33.5
  • Grüne +1.0average 9.0
  • SPD -0.5average 21.5
  • AfD +0.5average 11.5
  • FDP +0.5average 10.5
  • Linke -0.5average 9.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 139 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 73 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD139
  • AfD80
  • FDP73
  • Grüne66
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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