Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 October 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
12 to 18 Oct 2017
Respondents
2,304
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • Grüne10.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Oct 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,304 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Oct 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 33.5
  • Grüne +1.0average 9.0
  • SPD -0.5average 21.5
  • AfD +0.5average 11.5
  • FDP +0.5average 10.5
  • Linke -0.5average 9.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 139 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 73 seatsGrüne: 66 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD139
  • AfD80
  • FDP73
  • Grüne66
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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