Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 October 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
28 Sep 2017 to 4 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,490
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
  • SPD22.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • Grüne9.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Sep 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,490 people were surveyed from 28 Sep 2017 to 4 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.9average 34.9
  • AfD +0.9average 11.1
  • SPD +0.6average 21.4
  • Linke +0.5average 9.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 8.5
  • FDP ±0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 212 seatsSPD: 146 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 66 seatsLinke: 66 seatsGrüne: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU212
  • SPD146
  • AfD80
  • FDP66
  • Linke66
  • Grüne60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.