Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
25 to 27 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,038
Method
Unbekannt

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Sep 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,038 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and Grüne 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.6average 35.6
  • Grüne +2.1average 7.9
  • FDP +1.5average 9.5
  • AfD +1.0average 11.0
  • SPD -0.7average 21.7
  • Linke +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 215 seatsSPD: 136 seatsAfD: 78 seatsFDP: 71 seatsGrüne: 65 seatsLinke: 65 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU215
  • SPD136
  • AfD78
  • FDP71
  • Grüne65
  • Linke65
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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