Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
25 to 27 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,038
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%-2.0
  • SPD21.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%+2.0
  • Grüne10.0%+2.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • Others3.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Sep 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,038 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and Grüne 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.6average 35.6
  • Grüne +2.1average 7.9
  • FDP +1.5average 9.5
  • AfD +1.0average 11.0
  • SPD -0.7average 21.7
  • Linke +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 215 seatsSPD: 136 seatsAfD: 78 seatsFDP: 71 seatsGrüne: 65 seatsLinke: 65 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU215
  • SPD136
  • AfD78
  • FDP71
  • Grüne65
  • Linke65
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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