Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 July 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
6 to 12 Jul 2017
Respondents
1,263
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Jul 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,263 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Jul 2017, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.7average 8.7
  • SPD +1.0average 24.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 38.7
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.6
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
  • AfD +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsSPD: 166 seatsLinke: 60 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsFDP: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • SPD166
  • Linke60
  • Grüne53
  • AfD53
  • FDP46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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