Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 July 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 Jul 2017
Respondents
2,349
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Jul 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 2,349 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Jul 2017, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.0average 24.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 38.6
  • FDP -0.6average 8.6
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.6
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
  • AfD ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 249 seatsSPD: 164 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU249
  • SPD164
  • Linke59
  • FDP53
  • Grüne53
  • AfD52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD413 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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