Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 July 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
30 Jun 2017 to 5 Jul 2017
Respondents
1,878
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-1.0
  • SPD25.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Jul 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,878 people were surveyed from 30 Jun 2017 to 5 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Jul 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +0.9average 24.1
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 38.8
  • AfD -0.8average 7.8
  • FDP -0.6average 8.6
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.6
  • Linke +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsSPD: 166 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • SPD166
  • Linke60
  • FDP53
  • Grüne53
  • AfD46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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