Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 July 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
22 to 24 Jun 2017
Respondents
936
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU39.0%±0
  • SPD24.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD7.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Jun 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 936 people were surveyed from 22 to 24 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Jun 2017, FDP gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -0.9average 8.9
  • AfD -0.6average 7.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 38.6
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.6
  • SPD -0.3average 24.3
  • Linke +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 259 seatsSPD: 159 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU259
  • SPD159
  • Linke60
  • FDP53
  • Grüne53
  • AfD46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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