Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
18 to 23 May 2017
Respondents
1,703
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 May 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,703 people were surveyed from 18 to 23 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 May 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.6average 26.6
  • Grüne +0.9average 7.1
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 37.5
  • Linke -0.3average 8.3
  • FDP -0.2average 8.2
  • AfD -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsSPD: 166 seatsFDP: 53 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsLinke: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • SPD166
  • FDP53
  • Grüne53
  • Linke53
  • AfD53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD358 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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