Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 May 2017
Respondents
2,413
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
  • SPD26.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 May 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 2,413 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.6average 27.6
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 37.0
  • Linke +0.7average 8.3
  • AfD -0.3average 8.3
  • FDP -0.3average 7.3
  • Grüne -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsSPD: 173 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 53 seatsFDP: 46 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • SPD173
  • Linke60
  • AfD53
  • FDP46
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD425 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.