Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 May 2017
Respondents
1,873
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%+1.0
  • SPD27.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 May 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,873 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Linke 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.6average 8.4
  • SPD -1.2average 28.2
  • Grüne +0.8average 7.2
  • FDP -0.8average 6.8
  • AfD -0.7average 8.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 36.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 243 seatsSPD: 177 seatsLinke: 66 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 52 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU243
  • SPD177
  • Linke66
  • Grüne53
  • AfD52
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD420 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP334 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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