Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
27 Apr 2017 to 3 May 2017
Respondents
1,935
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • SPD28.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Apr 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,935 people were surveyed from 27 Apr 2017 to 3 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Apr 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.5average 29.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 35.5
  • AfD +0.4average 8.6
  • Grüne -0.4average 7.4
  • Linke +0.3average 8.7
  • FDP -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsSPD: 185 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 60 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • SPD185
  • Linke60
  • AfD60
  • Grüne46
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD424 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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