Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
20 to 26 Apr 2017
Respondents
2,439
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • SPD29.0%-2.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Apr 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 2,439 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Apr 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 30.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 35.2
  • Linke +0.5average 8.5
  • Grüne -0.2average 7.2
  • AfD ±0average 9.0
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 236 seatsSPD: 191 seatsLinke: 59 seatsAfD: 59 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU236
  • SPD191
  • Linke59
  • AfD59
  • Grüne46
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD427 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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