Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
24 to 31 May 2017
Respondents
1,838
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • SPD27.0%+2.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 May 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,838 people were surveyed from 24 to 31 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 May 2017, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 1.9 points lower and SPD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.9average 8.9
  • SPD +1.6average 25.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 37.7
  • Linke -0.3average 8.3
  • AfD -0.3average 8.3
  • Grüne -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 252 seatsSPD: 179 seatsLinke: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsFDP: 47 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU252
  • SPD179
  • Linke53
  • AfD53
  • FDP47
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD431 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne345 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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