Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
30 Mar 2017 to 5 Apr 2017
Respondents
1,958
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.0%+2.0
  • SPD33.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others3.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Apr 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 33.0%. 1,958 people were surveyed from 30 Mar 2017 to 5 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Apr 2017, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.6average 31.4
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 33.9
  • FDP -0.8average 5.8
  • Grüne -0.4average 7.4
  • AfD +0.1average 8.9
  • Linke -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 228 seatsSPD: 215 seatsAfD: 58 seatsLinke: 52 seatsGrüne: 45 seatsFDP: 32 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU228
  • SPD215
  • AfD58
  • Linke52
  • Grüne45
  • FDP32
  • CDU/CSU + SPD443 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne325 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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