Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
23 to 29 Mar 2017
Respondents
2,416
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD33.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Mar 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 33.0%. 2,416 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Mar 2017, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.4average 9.4
  • SPD +1.2average 31.8
  • Grüne -0.4average 7.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.2average 33.2
  • Linke +0.2average 7.8
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 219 seatsLinke: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD219
  • Linke53
  • AfD53
  • Grüne46
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD438 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD325 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne318 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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