Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Mar 2017
Respondents
2,450
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD33.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Mar 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 33.0%. 2,450 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Mar 2017, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.7average 31.3
  • AfD -1.2average 10.2
  • FDP -1.1average 6.1
  • Grüne +0.6average 7.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 32.6
  • Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 217 seatsSPD: 217 seatsAfD: 59 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsLinke: 52 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU217
  • SPD217
  • AfD59
  • Grüne52
  • Linke52
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + SPD434 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke321 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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