Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
9 to 15 Mar 2017
Respondents
1,832
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD32.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Mar 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 32.0%. 1,832 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Mar 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.5average 10.5
  • SPD +1.3average 30.7
  • FDP -1.2average 6.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 32.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 7.5
  • Linke -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 212 seatsAfD: 60 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsLinke: 53 seatsFDP: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD212
  • AfD60
  • Grüne53
  • Linke53
  • FDP33
  • CDU/CSU + SPD431 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne325 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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