Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Mar 2017
Respondents
1,882
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD33.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%-2.0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Mar 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 33.0%. 1,882 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Mar 2017, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.3 points higher and AfD 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.3average 30.7
  • AfD -2.2average 10.2
  • Grüne -0.6average 7.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 32.5
  • FDP -0.3average 6.3
  • Linke -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 219 seatsLinke: 53 seatsAfD: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD219
  • Linke53
  • AfD53
  • Grüne46
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD438 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD325 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + AfD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne318 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.