Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
6 to 12 Apr 2017
Respondents
2,436
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.0%±0
  • SPD31.0%-2.0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Apr 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 2,436 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Apr 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.0average 8.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 34.4
  • Grüne -0.4average 7.4
  • SPD -0.1average 31.1
  • AfD -0.1average 9.1
  • FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 228 seatsSPD: 202 seatsLinke: 58 seatsAfD: 58 seatsGrüne: 45 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU228
  • SPD202
  • Linke58
  • AfD58
  • Grüne45
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD430 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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