Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Feb 2017
Respondents
1,966
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD32.0%+3.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Feb 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 32.0%. 1,966 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Feb 2017, SPD gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 3.3 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.3average 28.7
  • AfD -1.5average 11.5
  • Grüne -0.9average 7.9
  • Linke -0.8average 8.8
  • FDP +0.2average 5.8
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 217 seatsSPD: 210 seatsAfD: 66 seatsLinke: 52 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU217
  • SPD210
  • AfD66
  • Linke52
  • Grüne46
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD427 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne329 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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