Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
26 Jan 2017 to 2 Feb 2017
Respondents
2,233
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%-4.0
  • SPD29.0%+6.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%-2.0
  • Linke8.0%-2.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Jan 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 2,233 people were surveyed from 26 Jan 2017 to 2 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Jan 2017, SPD gains 6.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 4.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +4.0average 25.0
  • CDU/CSU -1.6average 34.6
  • Linke -1.4average 9.4
  • AfD -1.0average 12.0
  • Grüne -0.5average 8.5
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 219 seatsSPD: 192 seatsAfD: 73 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsLinke: 53 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU219
  • SPD192
  • AfD73
  • Grüne53
  • Linke53
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD411 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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