Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
9 to 15 Feb 2017
Respondents
1,885
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD33.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Feb 2017.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 32.0%. 1,885 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Feb 2017, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 3.3 points higher and AfD 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.3average 29.7
  • AfD -2.3average 11.3
  • Grüne -0.8average 7.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 32.6
  • Linke -0.4average 8.4
  • FDP +0.3average 5.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 219 seatsCDU/CSU: 212 seatsAfD: 60 seatsLinke: 53 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD219
  • CDU/CSU212
  • AfD60
  • Linke53
  • Grüne46
  • FDP40
  • SPD + CDU/CSU431 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP319 of 630
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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