GMS poll of 13 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+3.0
- Grüne19.0%+3.0
- AfD15.0%-3.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 11 Oct 2018.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 11 Oct 2018, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 28.4
- Grüne -0.7average 19.7
- SPD -0.7average 14.7
- AfD +0.4average 14.6
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
- Linke -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- Grüne125
- AfD98
- SPD92
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.