GMS poll of 27 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 26 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- AfD18.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 11 Sep 2018.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 11 Sep 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 1.7 points higher and SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 16.3
- SPD -1.7average 17.7
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 28.6
- Grüne +0.4average 14.6
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
- Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- AfD119
- SPD106
- Grüne100
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.