GMS poll of 11 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 1 Aug 2018.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 1 Aug 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -0.8average 9.8
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 29.6
- SPD -0.6average 17.6
- FDP +0.4average 8.6
- Grüne +0.2average 13.8
- AfD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- SPD114
- AfD107
- Grüne94
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne403 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.