GMS poll of 17 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 16 May 2018
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 27 Apr 2018.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 11 to 16 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 27 Apr 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 18.3
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 32.7
- FDP +0.5average 8.5
- Grüne +0.1average 11.9
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
- AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- SPD106
- AfD93
- Grüne80
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.