GMS poll of 27 April 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 26 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%±0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 22 Mar 2018.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 22 Mar 2018, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 18.4
- AfD -1.0average 14.0
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 32.4
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
- Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD113
- AfD86
- Grüne79
- Linke73
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.