GMS poll of 22 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 21 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%-2.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 8 Feb 2018.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 16 to 21 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 8 Feb 2018, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 8.9
- AfD -0.8average 13.8
- Linke -0.6average 10.6
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- SPD -0.2average 18.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 33.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- SPD120
- AfD86
- Grüne73
- FDP66
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.