GMS poll of 8 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 7 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 1,007
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-2.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+2.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 Jan 2018.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 Jan 2018, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.5average 11.5
- Linke -1.2average 10.2
- SPD -1.0average 19.0
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 32.8
- AfD +0.4average 13.6
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- SPD119
- AfD93
- Grüne86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.